Treasury Bills · History · 3M 4.11% — Steepener

The read

Bills · History · 6 Nov 2026

3M 4.11%

on the month
−4bp
rank · 5y
42nd
1M/3M
+16bp

History is the complete record of closes a single maturity has printed, in the bill rate.

Treasury Bills 3M from 8 Nov 2021 to 6 Nov 2026: 3M currently 4.11%, between 0.04% and 5.52% over the window.

Short-term Treasury bill rates from 4 weeks to 52 weeks, quoted coupon-equivalent so they compare with a coupon bond.

Rank

3M 4.11%: 89th of 1y, 42nd of 5y, 70th of 10y, 81st of since 2002. High is the government paying more to borrow for three months.

0%2%4%today 4.11over 1ysince 20253.604.2089thover 5ysince 20210.045.5242ndover 10ysince 2016-0.055.5270thsince 2002-0.055.5281st

Angles

How to read this

What it is

History is the complete record of closes a single maturity has printed, in the bill rate. It reaches the earliest print there is, and a break in it marks a session nobody published, never a quiet one.

How to read the chart

Each point is a single close in percent, for the maturity on the button. It is the level itself, not a change or a rank.

Months of direction carry the meaning here; one print rarely does. Widen Show and a big day looks small.

Method

Where a print is missing, the line breaks rather than bridging the gap. Each maturity’s record starts when its own series starts, which leaves the left edge ragged.

Source

US Treasury · NBER · daily bill rates, coupon-equivalent

Treasury Bills in detail

6 Nov 2026 · secondary-market bill rates, coupon-equivalent, Treasury’s own feed

Curve

TenorBill rate1D1W1M1Y%ile 5y
SOFR (5 Nov)3.92%−2−2+2+1
EFFR (5 Nov)3.88%000+1
IORB (5 Nov)3.90%0000
ON RRP (5 Nov)3.75%0000
1M3.95%−1−3+1041
1.5M3.97%−1−1−50—
2M4.06%0−20+1143
3M4.11%+1+3−4+2242
4M4.19%+3+1−2+31—
6M4.26%+4+1−3+4647
1Y4.32%+4−4−10+6458

tenors 1, 5, 21, 252 trading days; anchors 1, 7, 30, 365 calendar

Slope

PairBP1D1W1M%ile 5y
1M/3M+16bp+2+6−572
1M/1.5M+2bp0+2−6—
1.5M/2M+9bp+1−1+5—
2M/3M+5bp+1+5−465
3M/4M+8bp+2−2+2—
4M/6M+7bp+10−1—
6M/1Y+6bp0−5−773
1M/1Y+37bp+5−1−1172

long − short, in basis points

Curvature

FlyBP1D1W1M%ile 5y
1M/3M/1Y−5bp−1+13+129

2 × belly − wings, 50-50 weighted, not duration-neutral

Slope-neutral

FlyBP1D1W1M%ile 5y
1M/3M/1Y−16bp−1+13+117

the fly with 1M/3M regressed out over five years

State

LineValueDetail
Inverted0 of 16pairs 2× apart in maturity
Deepest—nothing counted is inverted
Uncounted—no inversion between neighbours
1M/3Mnot inverted
MonthBull FlattenerΔ level −1bp · Δ slope −3bp over a month

This inversion

LineValueDetail
Last episode89 sessions31 Jul 2025 → 8 Dec 2025
Deepest (5 Sep 2025)−20bp
Area1,064basis points × sessions below zero
Un-inverted (9 Dec 2025)332 days agocalendar days, not sessions
Precedent96dmedian un-inversion to recession, 26 to 165, n=2. Not a forecast

1M/3M episodes of 20 sessions or more, since 2 Jan 2002

Volatility

LineValueDetail
3M vol34bpannualised, 21 sessions
Rank · 5y51st
Shape share2.111M/3M vol ÷ 3M vol

realised standard deviation of daily changes, annualised

Held, not watched

LineValueDetail
1y+3.8%
5y+20.5%not annualised
Worst fall (17 Sep 2008)−0.3%peak to trough, bottoming 22 Sep 2008
Since thenmade back

a rolling 3M par bond, coupon and price. Not a fund

Against the floor

LineValueDetail
Four-week bill (5 Nov)+15bp
Thirteen-week bill (5 Nov)+31bp
Rank · 5y85th

the bill's yield minus the ON RRP award, award restated on 365

Anchors

AnchorValue1D1W1M1YDetail
SOFR (5 Nov)3.92%−2−2+2+1
EFFR (5 Nov)3.88%000+1
IORB (5 Nov)3.90%0000
ON RRP (5 Nov)3.75%0000
SOFR−BGCR (5 Nov)+2bp+100−1what bilateral cleared repo adds to the broad GC rate inside SOFR
NBER (dated to 1 Oct 2026)not in a dated recessionNBER dates turning points about a year late

Spreads and butterflies are derived here from the published bill rate curve. They are not published by any source. A dash means the value could not be computed or was too thin to rank, never zero.

Treasury Bills, drawn other ways

Rates

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